Michigan




Two new polls out today show Sen. John McCain leading in two states that went for the Democrats in 2004. McCain leads in New Hampshire by a 49%-47% margin:

John McCain has gained ground for the third straight month and now holds a slight two-point advantage over Barack Obama in the swing state of New Hampshire.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Granite State finds McCain attracting 49% of the vote while Obama earns 47%. A month ago, it was Obama by a point. . . . .

McCain is now viewed favorably by 60% of New Hampshire voters, Obama by 54%. Those figures reflect a three-point improvement for McCain and a single-point decline for Obama.

McCain leads Obama by three in Michigan according to a new survey:

And another poll in Michigan -- by the Marketing Resource Group of Lansing for the newsletter Inside Michigan Politics -- showed McCain leading Obama in the state, 46%-43%.








Good news out today on the polling front -- Quinnipiac is out with polls from Colorado, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, and all four show gains for Sen. John McCain!

McCain has moved slightly ahead in Colorado, and is now only two points back in Minnesota, and four points back in Michigan. He still trails by 11 points in Wisconsin, but has made gains there too:

Arizona Sen. John McCain has inched ahead of Illinois Sen. Barack Obama in Colorado; come within inches in Minnesota and narrowed the gap in Michigan and Wisconsin, according to four simultaneous Quinnipiac University polls of likely voters in these battleground states, conducted in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com and released today.

Voters in each state say energy policy is more important than the war in Iraq. And by margins of 22 to 31 percentage points, voters in each state support offshore oil drilling, and by seven to 12-point margins, drilling in the Alaskan National Wildlife Refuge.

Sen. McCain has picked up support in almost every group in every state, especially among independent voters and men voters. The Republican now leads Obama among independent voters in Michigan and Minnesota. Overall results show:

* Colorado: McCain is up by a nose 46 - 44 percent, compared to a 49 - 44 percent Obama lead June 26;
* Michigan: Obama tops McCain 46 - 42 percent, compared to a 48 - 42 percent lead last time;
* Minnesota: Obama edges ahead 46 - 44 percent, compared to a 54 - 37 percent Obama lead;
* Wisconsin: Obama leads McCain 50 - 39 percent, compared to 52 - 39 percent.

"Sen. Barack Obama's post-primary bubble hasn't burst, but it is leaking a bit. It's been a good month for Sen. John McCain. His movement in these key states, not large except for Minnesota, jibes with the tightening we are seeing in the national polls," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"The good news for McCain is that he has improved his standing in Colorado and Michigan, two states that are critical to each man's strategy. Obama wants to break through in the Rocky Mountain and Southwestern states that have been going Republican for decades. McCain sees recently Democratic Michigan as his top takeaway target," Brown added.

"One reason for McCain's progress may be the energy issue. The results show increased support for additional drilling - which McCain supports and Obama opposes. Roughly one in ten voters say they have changed their minds and now favor drilling because of the jump in energy prices. They support Obama, but with voters saying that the energy issue is now more important to their presidential vote than is the war in Iraq, this group represents an opportunity for the Republican.

To put this in perspective, Minnesota has only voted Republican once since 1956 (in 1972 when Nixon won 49 states). Michigan has not voted Republican since 1988, and Wisconsin not since 1984. For McCain to be within 2 points in Minnesota, and 4 points in Michigan right now is astounding, especially considering the non-stop positive press Obama has received for over 1 1/2 months now, since clinching the nomination against Hillary.

This adds an interesting element to the VP decision for McCain. Pawlenty might be enough to put McCain over the top in Minnesota, and Romney might be enough to do the same in Michigan. I'm sure the McCain Campaign is trying to analyze which is the better bet.








During a campaign rally in Michigan today, John McCain voiced his concern that terrorists would increase their attacks in Iraq during the Iraqi elections.

Some have said McCain was talking about the US elections but when you hear the entire segment it is clear that he is referring to Iraq. This point is made when he mentions PM Maliki.

MCain also says, "We have Succeeded." Some have tried to say that he is claiming victory, but in the clip it is clear that McCain is saying that the "surge" has succeeded. He says that we will come home in honor and victory.









A new Survey USA poll in Michigan gives strong support to John McCain adding Mitt Romney to the ticket if his major aim is to win Michigan.

McCain leads Obama 41%-37% head-to-head. But when Romney is added to the ticket, McCain-Romney defeat every possible Democratic ticket surveyed:


Michigan is a "must-win" state for Democrats. If McCain could pick it off, he would be well on his way to victory.









Here is a brief local news interview with Sen. John McCain from the Detroit, Michigan area, where McCain campaigned on May 7, 2008.









Here is a local news report of Sen. John McCain's campaign visit to the Detroit, Michigan area, May 7, 2008, where he vowed to compete hard for Michigan and said he would win it in November.








Rasmussen Reports is out with some new state polls that bear ominous results for Democrats, and very positive news for John McCain. In both Michigan and Pennsylvania, states that have gone Democratic in recent elections, John McCain is leading the most likely Democrat nominee - Barack Obama - as well as Hillary Clinton. Here are the numbers

Pennsylvania

44% John McCain
43% Barack Obama

46% John McCain
44% Hillary Clinton

Michigan

44% John McCain
41% Barack Obama

46% John McCain
43% Hillary Clinton

These are considered reliable "blue" states for Democrats. The fact that John McCain is running strong in both, is a very ominous sign for Dems. If McCain could pick off either one of those states, he would be very difficult to defeat in November. McCain is clearly intending to compete all across the country. He will run very strong in New Hampshire, and has a shot in Connecticut and New Jersey as well. As the Dems keep beating on each other, John McCain is plodding along, building his organization and looking very presidential. Let's hope that picture is in place for several more months!








Here is a great example of the "squabbling" going on within the Democratic Party right now over a "re-vote" in Michigan and Florida. This segment from Meet the Press yesterday, March 9, 2008, has Tom Daschle - a surrogate for Obama, and Ed Rendell - a surrogate for Clinton, talking about how to resolve the fact that the "Democratic" Party very undemocratically is not allowing those two huge states to be represented in their nominating process:








The Associated Press is reporting that delegates now committed to John McCain from Michigan and Louisiana have boosted his total delegates to 903, just 288 short of the 1,191 needed to officially gain the GOP Nomination!

Sen. John McCain, the presumed Republican presidential nominee, picked up a total of 50 GOP national convention delegates from Michigan and Louisiana Saturday.

Republicans met in both states to resolve how to divvy up delegates to the national convention in September.

Thirty-two of Louisiana's 47 delegates told The Associated Press they intend to vote for McCain, and three others also are expected to back him.

Likewise, a majority of Michigan's presidential delegates also say they'll back the Arizona senator now that primary winner Mitt Romney is out of the race, although it's still unclear how many will go to the national convention.

As a result, McCain has 903 total delegates nationally, according to an Associated Press tally. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee has 245, while Romney's total dropped to 253. A total of 1,191 are needed to secure the nomination.

The McCain campaign said 43 of Louisiana's delegates have signed pledges to vote for McCain.








It looks like John McCain will received the majority of delegates from both Michigan and Louisiana, both states he did not win in primaries held there. But with Romney's releasing of his delegates, CBS News reports a decision has been made in meetings Friday and Saturday for the majority in Michigan to support John McCain.

Louisiana Republicans came to the same decision today, since neither Huckabee or McCain received 50% of the vote in last Saturday's primary in the Bayou State. Huckabee won narrowly, but did not get 50%. Had he received 50%+, the delegates would have been pledged to him.

Clearly, this is great news for John McCain, just one more sign that he will be the GOP Nominee.

The majority of Republican delegates in Michigan and Louisiana say they'll back Sen. John McCain. The states held party meetings to divvy up delegates to the national convention in September. (Click "Read More" Below)  read more »





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