McCain Pulls Within Two-Points of Obama in IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll - 11/2/08




The Investor's Business Daily (IBD/TIPP) Tracking Poll has the Presidential race tightening to just a two-point lead for Barack Obama over John McCain with two days remaining. The IBD poll was the most accurate in the 2004 Presidential election. Here are the results:


Trackback URL for this post:

http://www.blogsforjohnmccain.com/trackback/3839






Good news

This is indeed good news.....also...I believe IBD's margin of error is +/- 3%...so this is well within the margin of error.

I would also like to remind folks that a lot of the polls did not have a very good track record during the primaries. So just don't get depressed over the large margins of polls such as Gallup and now Zogby again.....I think Zogby slipped up yesterday and let out the real numbers which were showing McCain in the lead from Friday's polling by 1%...but retracted that today and went back to a double digit Obama lead.Perhaps a reason the polls seem to be so off this year is either intentional to try and "shape" public opinion rather than to "reflect" it....or....these pollsters have underestimated the number (me and a lot of other republicans) who no longer have a "land line" telephone line....but only have cell phones. Polls are based on phone calls to households and I believe most calls are made to "land lines and few, if any, are made to "cells".

The great thing about the IBD/TIPP poll is that they show a much larger % of undecideds....which I think is correct.....doesn't mean they are still "undecided" but rather are not going to divulge their preference to pollsters. Some folks (Dick Morris and others)believe that the undecideds are breaking for McCain 4 to 1.

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.