When it comes to victory in Iraq, Barack Obama is anything but the "Yes We Can," candidate. In fact, he would be the "No We Can't," Commander-in-Chief. ABC News has an in-depth article posted on the progress in Iraq and how it might affect the election. Here are some snippets of what they have to say:

Obama, who touts his early opposition to the war and was skeptical of the surge policy last summer that increased the number of American troops on the ground in order to bring down the level of violence, has acknowledged that things have improved on the ground in Iraq. But Obama has said that good news only reinforces his argument that troops should start withdrawing from Iraq.

McCain, who repeatedly promoted a surge policy until the Bush administration took action, has basked in the apparent success of the surge and criticized Obama for supporting a withdrawal, telling ABC News' Charles Gibson, "I believe if we'd done what he said -- and I think it's becoming clearer to the American people -- there would have been chaos, genocide, and we'd have been back."

The facts on the ground have changed substantially in recent months. Violence across Iraq hit a four-year low in May, according to the U.S. military, and the number of American casualties that month were the lowest since the invasion.

Starting with security gains in Anbar province, the surge was replicated in parts of Baghdad and spread to some of the Shiite areas. And Iraqi security forces have taken the lead in several difficult operations in Basra, Sadr City and Mosul, reported ABC News' Jonathan Karl.

On the political front, Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's government, after much stagnation, has never been stronger. And there has been some success on several of the benchmarks long-sought by the Bush administration as evidence of progress.

"[Obama's] got a problem when it comes to pulling out the troops and he's waffled on the issue," Schmitt said. "Now he's got to argue that we've got to pull out because things are going better, but that will remind people that things are going better."

McCain's strategy on the issue in coming months will be to make it an issue of judgment, said Tom Donnelly, an informal adviser to the McCain campaign.

"McCain can say with some credibility, 'I was for the surge before the Bush administration and look how it's worked.' He can show that when times are hard, he's got the intestinal fortitude to choose the harder right over the easier wrong."

As he has done in recent weeks, McCain will likely argue that Obama has been pessimistic on Iraq, said Donnelly.

"There is one exception to [Obama's] 'Yes we can" mantra," he said. "[Obama's] argument in Iraq has always been 'No, we can't' and McCain can say that he found a way to succeed. ... There has always been the follow-up question – how do we get out. You don't want to get out in a dishonorable way or in a way that creates greater chaos."

So, Obama opposes the "Surge" because he says things are going so badly in Iraq and we can't possibly win. In fact, he said the "Surge" would make things worse. But now that the "Surge" has undeniably worked and things are going well, Obama says we must leave because of the good news! John McCain must keep hammering away at Obama on Iraq because this is the underpinning of Obama's entire campaign. If he can be shown to be the unbearable lightweight that he is on all things National Security and Military, it could turn the thinking of millions of Americans against him.